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Haotian | CryptoInsight
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独立研究员| Researcher | 以技术和商业视角解读区块链前沿科技 | ZK、AI Agent、DePIN ,etc | 硬核科普 | Previously:@ambergroup_io | @peckshield | DMs for Collab | 社群只对Substack订阅会员开放
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Haotian | CryptoInsight
Regarding this wave of Ethereum's "MicroStrategy Summer," can $ETH truly replicate BTC MicroStrategy's "positive flywheel"? Here are some personal perspectives: 1) The ETH MicroStrategy is indeed emulating BTC MicroStrategy's successful model, and in the short term, many US stock companies will attempt FOMO, creating a positive flywheel. Regardless of the stock market's operators, the real institutional funds and stock investor buying power that take $ETH as a reserve asset have practically pulled Ethereum out of its long-term sluggish state. In other words, FOMO-driven growth is an unchanging iron law in the crypto market, but this time the FOMO subject is no longer pure retail investors, but Wall Street's real money. This at least verifies that ETH has finally broken free from purely relying on crypto narrative stacking and begun attracting incremental funds from outside the crypto circle; 2) BTC is closer to a "digital gold" reserve asset positioning, with relatively stable value and clear expectations, while ETH is essentially a "productive asset" whose value is tied to multiple factors like Ethereum network usage, Gas fee income, and ecosystem development. This means ETH as a reserve asset has greater volatility and uncertainty. Once the Ethereum ecosystem encounters significant technical security issues, or regulators pressure DeFi, Staking, and other functions, the risks and variables ETH faces as a reserve asset are far more complex than BTC's. So while BTC MicroStrategy's narrative logic can be borrowed, it doesn't mean market pricing and valuation logic can remain consistent; 3) The Ethereum ecosystem has more mature DeFi infrastructure and more expansive narrative potential compared to BTC. Through the staking mechanism, ETH can generate approximately 3-4% native yield, making it equivalent to a "on-chain interest-bearing government bond" in the crypto world. Institutional buy-in to this narrative is short-term negative for BTC's layer 2 infrastructure, but long-term, it might conversely stimulate faster BTC ecosystem infrastructure development once ETH's programmable interest-bearing asset catalyst plays a larger role; 4) This MicroStrategy Summer essentially reshuffles Crypto's previous narrative orientation. Previously, project teams built projects and spread technical narratives to VCs and retail market investors—essentially speaking to crypto natives. Now, this new narrative, whether about RWA or TradiFi, will need to tell stories to Wall Street. The key difference is that Wall Street doesn't buy pure concept stories; they want PMF—real user growth, revenue models, market scale, etc. This forces crypto projects to shift from "technology narrative-driven" to "business value-driven"—isn't this the pressure Solana brought to Ethereum before? Ultimately, they must face it; 5) This round includes US stock MicroStrategy concept operators like SharpLink Gaming, Bitmine immersion Tech, Bit Digital, BTCS inc.—mostly traditional capital market businesses with limited growth, seeking breakthrough by integrating Crypto. Their all-in approach to crypto assets often stems from lacking growth points in their main business. These operators' aggressive stance largely exploits the "arbitrage window" before the US government's comprehensive crypto industry reform and mature regulatory mechanisms. Short-term, they've navigated numerous legal and compliance gray areas—such as accounting standards' ambiguous crypto asset classification, SEC's lenient disclosure requirements, and tax treatment's gray zones. MicroStrategy's success largely benefited from BTC's super bull market, but as copycats, they might not have the same luck and operational capabilities. Therefore, the market heat these operators bring isn't significantly different from previous pure crypto native narrative hype—essentially still a high-stakes gamble and trial-and-error. Remember to be cautious of investment risks. Note: This MicroStrategy Summer is more like a "grand military exercise" for Crypto entering mainstream financial systems—a success would be celebrated, and a failure would be a small celebration (after all, an experiment that drags ETH out of its narrative stagnation is a success regardless of outcome!)
ETH
2.07%
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Haotian | CryptoInsight
07-17
Recently, friends focusing on the AI infrastructure track may have noticed that @AethirCloud has delivered an annual ARR of $141 million, with GPU utilization reaching 70%. Meanwhile, $ATH has been listed on Solana, undoubtedly selecting a more suitable battlefield for developing DePIN? Let's discuss Aethir's recent situation: 1) As one of the earliest AI computing power aggregation platforms, Aethir has already aggregated 430,000 high-performance GPU containers from 94 countries globally, including the latest H100s, B200s, and other enterprise-level chips. This is undoubtedly a prerequisite for developing subsequent platform functions. The reason why GPU providers are willing to connect even expensive enterprise-level hardware to the Aethir network is mainly due to its well-designed incentive mechanism. First, there's a dual revenue guarantee. GPU providers earn device online time rewards through PoC (Proof of Capacity) and actual usage rewards through PoD (Proof of Delivery). This design allows idle computing power to generate revenue while encouraging high-quality service provision, adopting a "pay-as-you-go + continuous incentive" model that is more attractive to GPU providers. Additionally, its revenue distribution is transparent enough. When customers book computing power with ATH, 80% is directly distributed to GPU providers, with only 20% going to the foundation. In traditional cloud service provider cost structures, hardware providers usually cannot receive such a high share. More ingeniously, its "shared treasury" design allows new Cloud Hosts to join the network using ATH, lowering the entry barrier while expanding the network scale. This combination of "borrowing + staking + revenue sharing" has directly reconstructed the traditional DePIN participation logic. 2) Aethir has indeed put effort into revenue innovation. Beyond basic computing power revenue, it is simultaneously advancing in several directions: RWAFI direction: Collaborating with @plumenetwork to directly tokenize enterprise-level GPUs, transforming physical hardware into divisible and tradable on-chain assets. Simultaneously launching the native stablecoin AUSD to provide a price anchor for the ecosystem. This is equivalent to turning "computing power leasing" into a REITs-like investment product. NodeFi direction: 91,000 Checker nodes not only receive daily ATH rewards but can also tokenize and trade future revenues through MetaStreet's Yield Pass platform. This means "verification work" itself has been assetized, allowing holders to obtain immediate liquidity without losing long-term returns. Furthermore, Aethir has joined the EigenLayer ecosystem. ATH holders can not only earn computing power revenue but also earn $EIGEN rewards through re-staking. This "multiple staking revenue stacking" directly raises the ATH revenue ceiling and provides more composability in the DeFi ecosystem. The logic behind this combination is clear: Aethir is reconstructing the traditional "selling computing power" business into a multi-layered, composable, and tradable financial product matrix. The previous approach was "having hardware means mining money," now it has become "building a multi-layered revenue structure around hardware." GPUs are no longer just production tools but underlying assets that can be divided, mortgaged, and derived. Verification work is no longer just network maintenance but a source of revenue that can be pre-sold, staked, and liquidity mined. Doesn't this resemble the PayFi track's focus on injecting real economy revenue into DeFi? 3) From actual performance data, Aethir maintains an annual ARR of $141 million amid a sluggish market and has expanded its ecosystem to over 150 AI, gaming, and Web3 enterprises. This business stability is rare in the DePIN track. Moreover, Aethir has pioneered GB200 and B200 cluster services, with chips designed for trillion-parameter models training 4 times faster than H100s. Combined with the ongoing $100 million ecosystem fund investment, the entire flywheel effect is accelerating. Additionally, the Solana ecosystem is rapidly developing in frontier areas like AI Agents, gaming, and RWA, which are precisely the main scenarios for GPU-intensive applications. Against this backdrop, ATH's listing on Solana seems intended to leverage Solana's low transaction fees and high TPS to provide more suitable infrastructure (main battlefield) for DePIN business models requiring numerous micro-transactions. Crucially, this $141 million annual revenue and 150 enterprise customers at least prove the market's real demand for its services. Compared to some DePIN projects still seeking application scenarios, this cash flow-supported business model is evidently more convincing. Of course, long-term success depends on maintaining this growth momentum and whether multi-chain expansion can bring the expected network effects. After all, in the rapidly changing AI computing power market, technological leadership and first-mover advantages are not permanent moats.
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Haotian | CryptoInsight
07-13
@yzilabs's investment in @aspecta_ai targets a long-overlooked, trillion-dollar field: on-chain pricing and circulation infrastructure for non-liquid assets. Starting from BuildKey, Aspecta has built a comprehensive full life-cycle mechanism for on-chain asset packaging. Assets like Pre-TGE shares, locked tokens, and private placements, which previously could only be "priced through whispers" in closed circles, can now directly enter the price discovery process through standardized ERC-20 certificates. I believe the most breakthrough aspect is BuildKey's introduction of "continuous pricing" logic: assets can maintain liquidity across private placement, TGE, and lock-up periods, greatly alleviating the liquidity bottleneck of "time lock", and for the first time transforming the "waiting cost" itself into a tradable value. This approach is very DeFi and very Web3. It can be said that Aspecta is building an infrastructure that supports public pricing and free trading of non-liquid assets, allowing every Alpha asset to be fairly discovered by the market. In the current context of asset explosion but severe liquidity shortage, it indeed provides a "structural breakthrough" solution. More importantly, it is not limited to crypto-native assets. With the strengthening trend of RWA and equity on-chain, this mechanism is equally applicable to the larger blue ocean market of Web2 private shares and non-standard assets. Therefore, @yzilabs's choice of Aspecta is, in a sense, a preemptive positioning of the next-generation on-chain pricing infrastructure. Aspecta's potential is far from being fully released, and each step moving forward is worth continuous attention.
Aspecta - BuildKey
@aspecta_ai
07-10
Build things that truly matter. Deliver real use cases with lasting impact. Step by step. There are no shortcuts. Honored to be backed by the best as we embark on this journey together. 🔑 The Key never changes: BUILD. x.com/yzilabs/status…
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