据《华尔街日报》报道，美国财长贝森特近日私下建议特朗普不应罢免美联储主席鲍威尔，理由包括：经济良好、美联储年内或将降息，以及罢免恐引发政治法律风险。贝森特指出，鲍威尔明年 5 月任期届满，届时可顺势更换人选。他的温和立场与部分官员更激进的态度形成对比。特朗普称贝森特 “令人安心”。

<div>据《华尔街日报》报道，美国财长贝森特近日私下建议特朗普不应罢免美联储主席鲍威尔，理由包括：经济良好、美联储年内或将降息，以及罢免恐引发政治法律风险。贝森特指出，鲍威尔明年 5 月任期届满，届时可顺势更换人选。他的温和立场与部分官员更激进的态度形成对比。特朗普称贝森特 “令人安心”。<br><br></div>

WSJ：贝森特力劝特朗普不要罢免鲍威尔

According to the <Wall Street Journal>, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent recently privately suggested that Trump should not dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with reasons including: a good economy, potential interest rate cuts by the Fed this year, and the potential political and legal risks of dismissal. Bessent pointed out that Powell's term expires in May next year, at which time a replacement could be smoothly arranged. His moderate stance contrasts with some officials' more radical attitudes. Trump described Bessent as "reassuring".

<div>According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin recently privately suggested to Trump that he should not dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with reasons including: a good economy, potential interest rate cuts by the Fed this year, and the potential political and legal risks of dismissal. Mnuchin pointed out that Powell's term expires in May next year, at which point a replacement could be smoothly made. His moderate stance contrasts with some officials' more radical attitudes. Trump described Mnuchin as "reassuring".<br><br></div>

WSJ: Bessant urged Trump not to remove Powell

<HangQing>Mars Finance News</HangQing>, on July 19, in the coming week, the manufacturing and service PMI in Europe and the United States will provide any signs of the impact of Trump's tariff policies. On the central bank front, the Federal Reserve is entering a quiet period before the July monetary policy meeting, but Fed Chairman Powell, who has recently been embroiled in a public opinion storm, will make an appearance, and market participants will be watching closely to see if he will respond to Trump's recent attacks. The European Central Bank will announce its latest interest rate decision. On Tuesday at 20:30, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting; on Thursday at 20:15, the ECB will announce its interest rate decision; at 20:45, ECB President Lagarde will hold a monetary policy press conference; on Thursday at 20:30, initial U.S. jobless claims for the week ending July 19. This week, there were reports that Trump has discussed the idea of firing Powell with other Republicans. However, he quickly downplayed these discussions, saying it was "extremely unlikely" to fire Powell. If Powell insists on defending the Fed's independence and again emphasizes the need to be patient and wait for more data to show the impact of tariffs, the U.S. dollar is likely to extend its recovery. That said, it is too early to start discussing a bullish reversal of the dollar. Although this global reserve currency has responded positively to recent tariff-related headlines, traders may still start to react as they did in April, selling the dollar if tariffs begin to heighten concerns about economic recession.

Macro outlook next week: Powell will appear under heavy pressure

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